Matthew Stafford’s standout 2025 season earned him the MVP award and revitalized the Rams’ Super Bowl aspirations, but a Pro Football Focus study indicates he benefited from significant turnover luck, posting the highest positive interception variance at +6.8. Despite having 21 turnover-worthy throws, he only recorded nine interceptions, aided by dropped passes. With a challenging 2026 schedule ahead, regression in turnover luck could jeopardize the Rams’ success, highlighting the need for stronger defensive and offensive support. Historically, interception luck tends to regress, and even a slight increase in Stafford’s interceptions could impact the team’s playoff chances.
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Matthew Stafford’s MVP Season Relied on Luck Implications for 2026 Season
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