2025 Preview: Potential Batter wOBA Surgers & Decliners

Juan Soto consistently underperforms his xwOBA, but his elite wOBA level may not see much improvement this year. Patrick Bailey and Christopher Morel are potential rebound candidates, with Bailey showing strong underlying skills and Morel benefiting from a hitter-friendly park. J.D. Martinez’s xwOBA suggests he can still hit, while Michael Harris II’s disappointing performance last year may have been a fluke. Maikel Garcia’s xwOBA indicates he should have performed better, making him a valuable target in fantasy leagues. Michael Toglia was unlucky last year despite a strong fantasy showing, and Daulton Varsho’s overperformance raises concerns about his future performance. Connor Wong’s elevated BABIP may not be sustainable, and Ezequiel Tovar’s improved results may not be fully deserved. José Ramírez and Trea Turner show slight declines in key metrics, while Jose Altuve’s age-related decline raises red flags for his future performance.

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